New study finds 21-days not enough!
By Shepard Ambellas | Intellihub.com
DALLAS — While it may be a sigh of relief for 43 people who came in contact with Thomas Duncan, now deceased, after being infected with Ebola, others are still on edge as new reports claim 21-days is just not enough time and that incubation periods may be longer.
In fact last Tuesday, Dr Charles Haas, Drexel University, released a white paper detailing how a 21-day quarantine for those potentially infected with Ebola is simply not enough and the data in which the World Health organization (WHO) and Center for Disease Control (CDC) are referencing may be old and flawed. Haas, points out in his paper that the data may be skewed and from an earlier 1976 outbreak in Zaire which may have differed from the modern outbreak we are seeing now.
Moreover, the Daily Mail reports:
When the researcher plugged into his model figures from the 1995 outbreak in the Congo and from the first nine months of the current epidemic originating in West Africa, he discovered that there is up to a 12 per cent chance that Ebola incubation could last longer than 21 days.
While Haas would not say what the ‘magic number’ of days in quarantine should be, he believes that it is longer than three weeks.
‘Twenty one days may not be sufficiently protective to public health,’ he writes in his paper.
For example, data associated with the Congo outbreak indicates that people possibly exposed to Ebola should remain in isolation for as long as 31 days.
A study published in the New England Journal of Medicine earlier this year also found that 5 per cent of patients who contracted Ebola in West Africa in the first months of the epidemic had an incubation period longer than the recommended 21 days.
About the author:
Shepard Ambellas is the founder, editor-in-chief of Intellihub News and the maker of SHADE the Motion Picture. You can also find him on Twitter and Facebook. Shepard also appears on the Travel Channel series America Declassified. You can also listen to him on Coast To Coast AM.