A new study has found that fertility rates have rapidly decreased in previous decades.
By JG Vibes
April 9, 2013
Any scientific studies these days should be taken with a grain of salt, because we are without a doubt living in an era of soviet style science, where state and corporate entities are using the scientific establishment to project a particular worldview into the mainstream consciousness. This is why it is important to always look for funding sources and seek many different avenues of research.
However, every now and then there is a study to come out of the academic establishment that seems to coincide with reality. Even then we should still think critically about whatever information we are taking in.
Recently, one of those studies did manage to crack through to the mainstream, in relation to “overpopulation”, the belief that there are too many people in the world to lead a sustainable existence. However, there is more than enough room for plenty more people on this earth, it is just all of the violence and subjugation that has this planet trapped in a situation of scarcity.
Overpopulation may not be such a big threat after all: using global population data from 1900 to 2010, scientists have developed a mathematical model showing that the number of Earth’s inhabitants may level off in the next 40 years. Conducted by a team of researchers from the Autonomous University of Madrid and CEU-San Pablo University, the numbers correspond with the lower estimates developed by the United Nations, which fall as high as 15.8 billion by 2100 in the case of high fertility and as low as 6.2 billion given low fertility.
The study, published in the journal Simulation, considered the Earth as a closed and finite system in which migration did not alter the principle of the conservation of mass (in this case people) and energy is fulfilled, according to a press release. Furthermore, it adjusted for the possibility of moving between zones of the two-level system, which is to say researchers took into account the fact that periods of high and low fertility may alternate over the next several decades.
“Within this general principle, the variables that limit the upper and lower zone of the system’s two levels are the birth and mortality rates,” UAM researcher and study co-author Felix F. Muñoz explained.
Describing the past, Muñoz said, “We started with a general situation where both the birth rate and mortality rate were high, with slow growth favoring the former, but the mortality rate fell sharply in the second half of the 20th century as a result of advances in healthcare and increased life expectancy and it seemed that the population would grow a lot. However, the past three decades have also seen a steep drop-off in the number of children being born worldwide.”
As an example, Muñoz pointed to a 1992 prediction that a total of 7.17 billion people would inhabit the Earth by 2010. However, when the year actually rolled around, that number was just 6.8 billion. In all, the study states, fertility rates has fallen by more than 40 percent since 1950.
An aristocrat by the name of Thomas Malthus was one of the first people to come forward with these ideas in a public work. In a 1798 publication called “An Essay on the Principle of Population” Malthus suggested that planned food shortages could be used to decrease the population of the poor through starvation. This was the root for the idea of “population control,” because a large population is very difficult for the elite to manage while retaining their own wealth and power.
Malthus suggested that the streets should be made narrower and more people should be crowded into living quarters to encourage conditions that would bring back the plague.
In that same essay he said that villages should be built next to stagnant pools where germs could fester and all remedies and cures would only be available to those who could afford it.
In his own words, “we are bound in justice and honor formally to disclaim the right of the poor to support. To this end, I should propose a regulation be made declaring that no child born should ever be entitled to parish assistance. This infant is comparatively speaking, of little value to society, as others will immediately supply its place…All children beyond what would be required to keep up the population to this level must perish, unless room be made for them by the deaths of grown persons.”
So, basically what he was suggesting was establishing a national limit on child births, and executing any child that was born past that limit. In the times of Malthus many elite circles were publicly speculating that if the world’s population were to exceed 3 billion people there would be mass famine and destruction of all the resources on Earth. Obviously, they were all very wrong. Malthus was wrong about many things, but nonetheless his ideas have had a profound and sinister impact on the way our civilization has progressed.
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J.G. Vibes is the author of an 87 chapter counter-culture textbook called Alchemy of the Modern Renaissance, a staff writer, reporter for dev-test.intellihub.com and Executive Producer of the Bob Tuskin Radio Show. You can keep up with his work, which includes free podcasts, free e-books & free audiobooks at his website www.aotmr.com