Unemployment: You Can’t Trust Government Numbers Period

By Shepard Ambellas

Your omnipotent leader President Barack Obama has failed you on the economic front and every other.

WASHINGTON, D.C. (INTELLIHUB) — I don’t even know where to start. The country has went down the tubes in many ways over recent years. Millions of Americans remain unemployed as we slip into a massive unescapable economic abyss. The debt ceiling can only be lifted so many times before it comes crashing down and to top it off the unemployment numbers are skewed and even “faked” in some cases. Needless to say, we essentially live in a world of shit. A world in which up is down and left is right. A world in which nothing is what it seems.

Robert Oak of the Economic Populist wrote, “The New York Post is reporting an absolute bombshell story if true.  They claim the September 2012 unemployment report was manipulated and survey data was faked, just in time for the election.  The story quotes anonymous sources, insiders from the Census Bureau who claim to have falsified survey data for the unemployment report.

The decline — from 8.1 percent in August to 7.8 percent in September — might not have been all it seemed. The numbers, according to a reliable source, were manipulated.

And the Census Bureau, which does the unemployment survey, knew it.

Not only is the Post claiming the September 2012 unemployment surveys were manipulated but this is still going on today.  The Census actually caught one employee fabricating the unemployment statistics by falsifying survey results which should be answered by respondents.

Just two years before the presidential election, the Census Bureau had caught an employee fabricating data that went into the unemployment report, which is one of the most closely watched measures of the economy.

And a knowledgeable source says the deception went beyond that one employee — that it escalated at the time President Obama was seeking reelection in 2012 and continues today.

The story might very well be true.  The unemployment rate comes from surveys, sent out to 60,000 households spread out over 2,025 geographical areas of the country..  The Bureau of Labor Statistics gives great detail into the methodology used for these surveys.  The fraud reported by the New York Post comes from the 2200 Census employees who conduct the phone interviews each month for the Household survey.  Instead of doing their job and recording the answers from the interview questions of these households, a few individuals are falsifying the survey results.  If employees were falsifying interviews and this fudging of surveys is done with enough households, such fraud could skew the unemployment rate.”[1]

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Currently as of Dec. 1, the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows the unemployment rate through October of this year as a 7.3, lagging about 30 days behind.

Labor Force Statistics from the Current Population Survey:

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Annual
2003 5.8 5.9 5.9 6.0 6.1 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.0 5.8 5.7
2004 5.7 5.6 5.8 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.5 5.4 5.4
2005 5.3 5.4 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.9
2006 4.7 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.5 4.4 4.5 4.4
2007 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.5 4.4 4.6 4.7 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.7 5.0
2008 5.0 4.9 5.1 5.0 5.4 5.6 5.8 6.1 6.1 6.5 6.8 7.3
2009 7.8 8.3 8.7 9.0 9.4 9.5 9.5 9.6 9.8 10.0 9.9 9.9
2010 9.8 9.8 9.9 9.9 9.6 9.4 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.8 9.3
2011 9.1 9.0 8.9 9.0 9.0 9.1 9.0 9.0 9.0 8.9 8.6 8.5
2012 8.3 8.3 8.2 8.1 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.1 7.8 7.9 7.8 7.8
2013 7.9 7.7 7.6 7.5 7.6 7.6 7.4 7.3 7.2 7.3
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Some states have reported a decline in unemployment rates recently such as Connecticut, which despite the reduction in the number of jobs available showed signs of economic growth an an encouraging outlook for local residents. However, in most cases thing are much worse than reported as our leaders in Washington have been caught lying about almost everything. The Norwalk Daily Voice reported, “The jobless rate fell by a tenth of a percentage point in October and again in September, falling to 7.9 percent from 8.1 percent in August. But Connecticut still lags behind the nation, which has a 7.3 percent unemployment rate.

Connecticut combined statistics for September and October because of the federal government shutdown this fall.”[2]

While this may provide a security blanket for those in Connecticut, the rest of the nation appears to be in shambles raising concern of how long the fiat bubble will last before popping.

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Sources:

[1] New York Post Claims Census Falsifies Unemployment Figures – EconomicPopulist.org

[2] Labor Force Statistics from the Current Population Survey – Bureau of Labor Statistics

[3] Unemployment Rate Dips To Lowest Level In Connecticut In 4 Years – Norwalk Daily Voice